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What Have You Done For Me Lately?

 
Author: Al Thomas

Dont you love those ads in the paper and on TV saying how much their mutual fund has made over the past 3, 5 and 10 years? I get all choked up. Hind sight is always 20/20. If Mr. Investor had known that he would be in clover today, BUT ..

It seems that during the past few months, in fact for more than a year 90% of all mutual funds are lucky to be even. Even. Even doesnt cut it so what can an investor do when the market starts down as it has been doing lately? The Dow Jones Industrial Average has lost 500 points. What if it drops like it did in 2000 when the NASDAQ lost 78% of it value and 7 trillion (yes, thats a T) dollars.

Will your broker call you to tell you to sell? Did he tell you that last time? According to statistics less than 2% of Wall Street recommendations in that bear market were to sell. Is the tune going to change this time? Hardly. You are on your own again. Either you take charge or you will lose your money.

Some people run to Morningstar for mutual fund recommendations. If you will look at their 5-Star Mutual Funds you will see they sank into the slime along with all the others. Morningstar follows the Wall Street line so you cant rely on them.

Who can you rely upon to protect your investments?

One person.

YOU!

Dont tell me you cant do it because you dont know enough. Obviously any blind hog could have found more acorns in the years 2000 to 2003 than your broker.

The first consideration is protection of what you have now. If the fund you bought at $20 went to $40 would you be happy if it went back to $20? Not really. So you have to decide right now how much you are willing to give back. One of the basic rules of thumb is 10% from its highest closing price. If it drops below $36 sell it because you dont know how far down is. This is protection against a major loss. If investors will look at the history of the funds they own they will see that a 50% loss is common and that means the investor would have to earn 100% to make up for that loss. Fund managers usually arent that smart.

The professionals let the market tell them when to get in and more importantly when to get out. The great secret of the stock market is not buying. It is selling. Investors who have an exit strategy are those who end up with big money. There are many good exit methods, but they must be put into place and acted upon when the appropriate time occurs.

There are many good long term investment plans and all of them have periods when the best investment is cash.

Author Bio:

Al Thomas

Albert W. Thomas has spent most of his life in the field of finance. In 1965 he founded an insurance holding company, Security Dynamics Investment Corporation, after having been an agent and General Agent for several life insurance companies. In 1970 he became cofounder and president of Real Life Estate, Inc., that marketed a unique real estate and life insurance package.

After he became interested in commodities he bought a seat for his personal trading on the Chicago Open Board of Trade, which is now known as the MidAmerica Commodity Exchange. Later he became a full time trader and also acted as a commodity broker for a few select clients. By fellow floor traders Al is considered to be an excellent technical analyst much of which is outlined in his book IF IT DOESN'T GO UP, DON'T BUY IT! It became a best seller on Amazon.

In 1981 he sold his membership on the Exchange and with his wife, Carolyn, lived full time aboard their 41' ketch, the Aumakua (which means guardian angel in Hawaiian). They sailed in Florida and the Bahamas for two years.

He founded World Trading Group in 1984 that grew to the seventh largest introducing commodity brokerage firm in the U.S. with 35 offices from coast to coast, Alaska and Canada. It was sold in 1992.

Al is a graduate of Northwestern University with a B.S. degree in Commerce and is a member of MENSA. He is now president of Williamsburg Investment Company that syndicates his weekly financial column since 1999 to more than 300 newspapers and writes a financial market letter called Over My Shoulder that is quoted in Barron?s and many other publications. A 3-month trial subscription is available on his web site. He is a regular guest on several financial radio talk shows.

His favorite pastime is fishing.

Mr. Thomas is available for speaking engagements. Please call 321-453-5300 for more information.

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